Calibration/Development of Safety Peformance Functions for New Jersey
The predictive models in the Highway Safety Manual (HSM) is based on the Safety Performance Functions (SPFs), which is a statistical regression model based on observed crash data from similar facility types and estimates the predicted average crash frequency the base conditions. To account for differences between the base conditions and the specific conditions of the facility site, accident modification factors (CMFs) are utilized to adjust the prediction to account for the geometric design and traffic control features of the specific site.